The Skills Imperative 2035
Over the past five years, NFER has led a strategic research partnership, funded by the Nuffield Foundation, to identify what the labour market will look like by 2035, what ‘Essential Employment Skills’ (EES) will be most needed to do these jobs, and who is most and least likely to be affected by changes in jobs and skills requirements.
It outlines the collective response required to help young people and those already in work.
The final report says up to three million UK jobs in declining occupations could disappear by 2035, largely due to AI and automation – more than previously forecast. Find out more in the video below:
Read the Final Report
The Programme has identified six Essential Employment Skills (EES):
- Collaboration
- Communication
- Creative thinking
- Information literacy
- Organising, planning and prioritising
- Problem solving and decision making
It has identified shortages in these EES, which are likely to get worse without action, and stresses how they will become increasingly important as they complement growing workplace technology.
The programme has projected that the number of jobs in the labour market as a whole will grow by 2035, but that most growth will be in professional and associate professional occupations such as science, engineering and legal roles which heavily utilise these six EES. Most mid- and low-skilled jobs will decline at an increasing pace.
YouGov Polls
In September 2025, we undertook a survey with YouGov which asked respondents how supported and prepared they felt in being able to develop these six essential skills, and respond to technology changes that are likely to affect the workplace.
Some of the key findings from these polls are below:
53% of workers think it is likely that automation or AI will affect their job in the next ten years.
45% of UK adults said they currently feel supported by employers to develop new skills. 43% do not feel this is the case.
65% of non-retired people are confident that they will able to develop their skills at the right pace to keep up with changes in jobs and skills requirements over the next decade.
63% of people think their education did prepare them with the essential employment skills they need for the world of work. 34% thought the opposite.
Only 24% of UK adults said they feel the UK government supports them to develop new skills. 66% do not feel they are currently supported.
What we've found
Over the past five years, we have:
- projected what jobs are likely to exist in the labour market in 2035
- projected the demand for, supply of, and gaps in these essential employment skills in 2035, drawing on findings from a first-of-its-kind survey of essential employment skills amongst young people and adults aged 16-65 in England
- established which professions are likely to benefit and suffer from these projected changes, and how we can seize the opportunities on offer whilst minimising the costs of disruption in the labour market
- investigated how young people’s skills develop and the impact of the education system and other mechanisms
- explored how young people’s skill development compares across countries and what we can learn from high-performing countries beyond the UK.
Scenario Profiles
You can view a series of scenarios highlighting which types of people are most and least at risk of being impacted by changes to the labour market in the coming decade:
Further Information
You can view all the previous reports as part of the project below.
Throughout the five-year programme, we have worked collaboratively with our co-investigators and employers, policy makers, and education leaders to provide practical insights and evidence, which has informed longer-term planning to address future skills needs.
Publications
View all the research reports and information from The Skills Imperative 2035 project.
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News
Read some of the news and blogs published as part of The Skills Imperative 2035 project.
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Strategic Advisory Board
Learn about the Strategic Advisory Board for the Skills Imperative 2035 project, consisting of a mixture of policymakers and policy influencers, employers and industry representatives, education and skills leaders, research and technical experts.
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Resources
A number of resources published across the lifespan of the Skills Imperative 2035 research programme.
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